Sunday, February 19, 2012

84th Academy Awards – ‘Best Supporting Actress’


Eligibility and Voting:
A Reminder List including the casts of all eligible motion pictures shall be sent with nominations ballots to all active members of the Actors Branch who shall vote in the order of their preference for not more than five acting achievements in each category: Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role, Performance by a Actor in a Supporting Role, Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role, Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role.

The five acting achievements in each category receiving the highest number of votes shall become the nominations for final voting for the Acting awards.

A performance by an actor or actress in any role shall be eligible for nomination either for the leading role or supporting role categories.  If, however, all the dialogue has been dubbed by another actor, the performance shall not be eligible for award consideration.  Singing that is dubbed will not affect the performer’s eligibility unless it constitutes the entire performance.  The determination as to whether a role is a leading or supporting role shall be made individually by members of the branch at the time of balloting.

The leading role and supporting role categories will be tabulated simultaneously.  If any performance should receive votes in both categories, the achievement shall be only placed on the ballot in that category in which, during the tabulation process, it first receives the required number of votes to be nominated.  In the event that the performance receives the numbers of votes required to be nominated in both categories simultaneously, the achievement shall be placed only on the ballot in that category in which it receives the greater percentage of the total votes.

In the event that two achievements by an actor or actress receive sufficient votes to be nominated in the same category, only one shall be nominated using the preferential tabulation process and such other allied procedures as may be necessary to achieve that result.

In the event that an actor or actress receives a sufficient number of votes to be nominated for one achievement in one category and for another achievement in the other category, both achievements shall be eligible.

Final voting for the Acting awards shall be restricted to active and life Academy members.

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Nominations:

Bérénice Bejo – The Artist as Peppy Miller
  • 1st nomination.  Also appeared in A Knights Tale.
  • Nominated for 10 other major awards including the BAFTA and Screen Actors Guild Award.
Bejo is amazing in her role in The Artist… I loved this movie… however, I don’t think she is the favorite.  But she does have a REAL chance.


Jessica Chastain – The Help as Celia Foote
  • 1st nomination.
  • Won 20 of 42 other major award nominations, however, they weren’t all for her work in The Help.
It is not uncommon of an performer/movie maker to have a prolific year.  Heck, George Clooney has two movies up for Oscars, same with Spielberg.  However, Jessica, a relatively unknown actress has had one of the most prolific years an actress can dream of.  7 films:
  • Tree of Life, with Brad Pitt, for which she won the Chicago Film Critics Association Award for Best Supporting Actress.
  • Take Shelter, for which she won the Toronto Film Critics Association Award for Supporting Actress.
  • The Help, for which she won the New York Film Critics Award for Best Actress (also honoring her work in Take Shelter and Tree of Life)
  • The Debt with Helen Mirren, for which she won Actor of the Year from the Central Ohio Film Critics Association (Honoring her complete body of work for the year).
  • Texas Killing Fields, with Sam Worthington, for which she won the San Diego Film Critics Society Award for her body of work.
  • Coriolanus, with Ralph Fiennes and Gerard Butler, for which she won the Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award for Supporting Actress (Honoring her complete body of work for the year).
  • Wille Salome, with Al Pacino.
In addition, Jessica has 6 more films schedule for release in 2012.  If the Academy honored a performers complete body of work for the year she would be the hands down winner, however, per the rules, she can only be judged on her work in The Help… and I just don’t think she’ll best her co-star.


Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids as Megan Price
  • 1st nomination.  Recently won an Emmy for her work on the television series Mike and Molly.
  • Won 2 of 12 other major award nomination.
Personally, I don’t get it.  I actually enjoyed Maya Rudolph’s performance much more.  Melissa was very funny… but I’m not really sure about this nomination.  If the Academy is going to nominate Melissa, why was Zach Galifianakis snubbed for The Hangover?


Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs as Hubert Page
  • 2nd nomination.  Previously nominated for Leading Actress in Tumbleweeds.
  • Won 1 of 8 other major awards.
Janet has a very strong body of work, but she’s a long shot here.  That said, she must have become pretty close with Glen Close because Janet is going to guest star on Damages this season.


Octavia Spencer – The Help as Minny Jackson
  • 1st nomination.
  • Won 7 of 13 other major award nominations, including the BAFTA and SAG Award.
Octavia is the clear front runner and I expect her to win.  She was fantastic and I am especially supportive of her because she has almost always been a bit player in random movies… most notably the Pet Psychic in Dinner with Schmucks.


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Snubs:
It’s a tough call.  Four performances that made my top five list weren’t nominated for the Oscar.  That said, I consider Beranice Bejo’s performance a Leading performance not Supporting.

Shailene Woodley, The Descendants:  her performance was very impressive for a 20 year old… she acted alongside George Clooney like she had been doing it all her life.  Her troubled, rebellious daughter with loyalty and a heart of gold really rang true and realistic.

Amy Ryan, Win Win:  One of these days the Academy will have to give her an Oscar.  She is always amazing and makes it look easy.  Amy’s performance in Win Win was fantastic.  She was believable as Paul Giamatti’s wife and the mother of his children… and her performance and the character she played should serve as an example of how we should all be… never wavering in acceptance and in knowing the right thing to do.

Elle Fanning, Super 8: Elle’s performance really set the movie apart from normal Sci-Fi action movies.  She gave the project this strange battered heart that really pushed through the entire film.  Mesmerizing.

Analeigh Tipton, Crazy Stupid Love: I realize that three of these performances are all from young girls, but I assure you, I am not simply a dirty old man.  Analeigh performance was really remarkable.  She was totally believable as the young babysitter secretly in love with her employer.  She was so painfully awkward and quirky and caring and loving and courageous… even when it was totally misguided… like a real teenage girl.  What made me appreciate her performance as well is that her character wasn’t a Hollywood norm.  She wasn’t a man eater looking for destroy a marriage.  And the film never attempted to make Steve Carell’s character interested in her.  It was simply a case of a crush… and it played believable and painfully beautiful.

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Oscar Trends:
Octavia has the advantage having won the Screen Actors Guild Award.  10 out of the last 17 recipients have also won the Oscar.  Of those 7 losses, only twice has the Oscar gone to a person not nominated for the SAG award for Supporting Actress: 2000 and 2001 when the Oscars went to Marcia Gay Harden for Pollock and Jennifer Connelly for  A Beautiful Mind.

Octavia won the SAG, BAFTA, and Golden Globe… it’s pretty much a lock.

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Prediction: 
  • Winner:  Octavia Spencer – The Help as Minny Jackson
    • Runner-Up:  Bérénice Bejo – The Artist as Peppy Miller
    • Wild Card: Jessica Chastain – The Help as Celia Foote
    • Unlikely:  Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids as Megan Price
    • No Chance in Hell:  Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs as Hubert Page


Click HERE for a full list of my Oscar predictions.

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