Alright, my
overall Oscar predicting skills are pretty above average… however, Film Editing
is my Achilles heel. In the three years
I have been doing this competitively I have NEVER gotten this category
correct. So… I’m not even going to try
to sounds like I know what I am talking about here… I’m just going to make
another educated guess and hope for the best.
Again, there are
no major changes to the role of Film Editing and Voting Procedures, so you can
read about them in last year’s post if you wish: 84th Academy Awards – Best Film
Editing.
**********
Nominations:
·
Argo
o
William
Goldenberg – 3rd nomination.
Goldenberg actually picked up his 3rd
and 4th nomination for Film Editing this year. He is also nominated for Zero Dark Thirty (see
below). Previously he has been nominated
for Seabiscuit
and The
Insider.
For Argo, Goldenberg took
second place at the Boston Society of Film Critics’ Awards, nominated for the
Broadcast Film Critics Award, took second place at the Los Angeles Film Critics
Association Awards (losing to himself for Zero Dark Thirty), won the San Diego
Film Critics Society Award (beating out himself for Zero Dark Thirty), and is
nominated for the Satellite Award.
·
Life
of Pi
o
Tim
Squyres – 2nd nomination.
Squyres was previously
nominated for Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon.
Additionally, he is also known for his work on Gosford Park and Eat
Drink Man Woman.
The recognition for Squyres’
work on Life of Pi has not been as wide spread as Goldenberg’s work on
both Argo
and Zero Dark Thirty.
Squyres has been nominated for BAFTA Awards, Broadcast Film Critics
Association Awards, and San Diego Film Critics Society Awards.
·
Lincoln
o
Michael
Kahn – 8th nomination, 3 wins.
Kahn is Steven Spielberg’s go-to Film
Editor. He has already received Oscars
for Raiders
of the Lost Ark, Schindler’s List, and Saving
Private Ryan; and in addition has been nominated for Close
Encounters of the Third Kind, Fatal Attraction, Empire
of the Sun, and Munich.
That said, so far this awards
season, he has only been nominated for the Broadcast Film Critics Association
Award.
·
Silver
Lining Playbook
o
Jay
Cassidy – 2nd nomination.
Previously nominated for Into the Wild.
o
Crispin
Struthers – 1st nomination.
After
toiling away as the assistant editor on movies like I am Number Four, The
Fighter, and RocknRolla, this nomination is a
pretty big deal for Struthers. Although
he has served as a lead editor previously, this is by far his most recognizable
project.
As
for Cassidy, he has been around for quite some time… however, the industry
might still be shunning him for editing last year’s Justin Bieber documentary Never
Say Never… or maybe that’s just me.
So
far these guys have only been nominated for the Satellite Award.
·
Zero
Dark Thirty
o
Dylan
Tichenor – 2nd nomination.
o
William
Goldenberg – 4th nomination.
Tichenor
was previously nominated for editing There Will Be Blood. And cinephiles will probably also like to
know that he is the guy who edited The Royal Tenenbaums, Magnolia,
and Boogie
Nights. This is a guy who knows
how to handle stories with huge casts.
And
coupled with Goldenberg, I am not surprised these guys have been having such a
big year. They are nominated for the
BAFTA, won the Boston Society of Film Critics Award, nominated for the
Broadcast Film Critics Award, won the Hollywood Film Festival, won the Las
Vegas Film Critics Award, won the Los Angeles Film Critics Association Award,
nominated for the San Diego Film Critics Society Award, and are nominated for
the Satellite Award.
**********
Snubs:
As I reported
above, I obviously don’t know anything about Film Editing, so I am not even
going to attempt to report on possible snubs in this category.
**********
Oscar
Trends:
As I reported
last year, for 20 of the last 21 years, the winner of the Oscar was also (at
least) nominated for the BAFTA… and although I feel like my analysis was sound,
last year was the one exception, with the win going to The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo.
However, I still
think the BAFTA nominations are the most sound indicator and this year only two
films are nominated by both organizations:
Zero Dark Thirty and Life of Pi… and I will use this data
in my predictions:
**********
Prediction:
1. Zero Dark Thirty
2. Life of Pi
3. Argo
4. Lincoln
5. Silver Lining Playbook
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